American 
W-L: ( 7-24) PR = 92.0236
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1108 A Delaware St MEAC ( 6-23, 90.9) 66-63
1113 H Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 38-78
1117 H Delaware CUSA (12-19, 93.3) 57-68
1120 H LIU NE (14-10, 92.3) 55-69
1122 H La Salle A10 (18-15, 94.3) 61-72
1126 H Yale IVY ( 7-20, 92.5) 54-63
1203 H Drexel CA (21-10, 93.8) 48-55
1207 H Will&Mary CA (16-14, 93.2) 60-73
1214 H George Wash A10 (18-17, 94.2) 44-70
1216 H VCU A10 ( 8-24, 93.5) 63-69
1221 A UMBC AE (15-15, 93.5) 65-61
1231 H Loyola-MD PAT L (13-18, 92.8) 59-68
103 A Boston Univ PAT (12-20, 92.6) 53-45
107 A Colgate PAT ( 6-25, 91.9) 59-56
110 H Holy Cross PAT H (23-11, 94.1) 48-65
114 H Navy PAT (22- 9, 94.1) 68-86
114 H Navy PAT (22- 9, 94.1) 68-86
117 H Army PAT (26- 7, 94.4) 56-63
121 A Colgate PAT ( 6-25, 91.9) 44-41
124 H Holy Cross PAT H (23-11, 94.1) 58-70
128 H Loyola-MD PAT L (13-18, 92.8) 53-63
131 A Lafayette PAT L (12-18, 92.5) 70-60
204 H Bucknell PAT (10-20, 92.4) 45-58
207 H Navy PAT (22- 9, 94.1) 58-86
211 H Lehigh PAT L (17-16, 93.4) 51-79
214 H Army PAT (26- 7, 94.4) 56-86
218 H Bucknell PAT (10-20, 92.4) 45-58
221 H Lafayette PAT L (12-18, 92.5) 41-56
228 H Boston Univ PAT (12-20, 92.6) 76-79
304 A Lehigh PAT L (17-16, 93.4) 62-60
307 H Boston Univ PAT (12-20, 92.6) 58-69
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 A Delaware St 66-63 3 1 0.84
1113 H Clemson 38-78 -40 -4 0.00
1117 H Delaware 57-68 -11 -1 -0.77
1120 H LIU 55-69 -14 0 -1.74
1122 H La Salle 61-72 -11 -2 0.00
1126 H Yale 54-63 -9 0 -1.55
1203 H Drexel 48-55 -7 -2 -0.22
1207 H Will&Mary 60-73 -13 -1 -0.83
1214 H George Wash 44-70 -26 -2 0.00
1216 H VCU 63-69 -6 -1 -0.54
1221 A UMBC 65-61 4 -2 + 3.52
1231 H Loyola-MD 59-68 -9 -1 -1.26
103 A Boston Univ 53-45 8 -1 + 2.54
107 A Colgate 59-56 3 0 1.85
110 H Holy Cross 48-65 -17 -2 0.00
114 H Navy 68-86 -18 -2 0.00
114 H Navy 68-86 -18 -2 0.00
117 H Army 56-63 -7 -2 0.00
121 A Colgate 44-41 3 0 1.85
124 H Holy Cross 58-70 -12 -2 0.00
128 H Loyola-MD 53-63 -10 -1 -1.26
131 A Lafayette 70-60 10 -1 + 2.51
204 H Bucknell 45-58 -13 0 -1.63
207 H Navy 58-86 -28 -2 0.00
211 H Lehigh 51-79 -28 -1 -0.63
214 H Army 56-86 -30 -2 0.00
218 H Bucknell 45-58 -13 0 -1.63
221 H Lafayette 41-56 -15 0 -1.51
228 H Boston Univ 76-79 -3 -1 -1.48
304 A Lehigh 62-60 2 -1 + 3.39
307 H Boston Univ 58-69 -11 -1 -1.48
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1221 A UMBC 65-61 4 -2 + 3.52
103 A Boston Univ 53-45 8 -1 + 2.54
131 A Lafayette 70-60 10 -1 + 2.51
304 A Lehigh 62-60 2 -1 + 3.39
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Delaware St ( 6-23, 90.9) 66-63 -9.05 1.91 0.01 0.98 3.76
3 H Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 38-78 -3.82 7.14 -0.01 0.98 -1.87
3 H Delaware (12-19, 93.3) 57-68 -6.64 4.32 -0.01 0.98 -3.25
3 H LIU (14-10, 92.3) 55-69 -7.60 3.36 -0.01 0.98 -3.73
3 H La Salle (18-15, 94.3) 61-72 -5.57 5.39 -0.01 0.98 -2.73
3 H Yale ( 7-20, 92.5) 54-63 -7.41 3.55 -0.01 0.98 -3.63
3 H Drexel (21-10, 93.8) 48-55 -6.09 4.87 -0.01 0.98 -2.98
3 H Will&Mary (16-14, 93.2) 60-73 -6.70 4.26 -0.01 0.98 -3.28
3 H George Wash (18-17, 94.2) 44-70 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 0.98 -2.78
3 H VCU ( 8-24, 93.5) 63-69 -6.40 4.56 -0.01 0.98 -3.14
3 A UMBC (15-15, 93.5) 65-61 -6.37 4.59 0.01 0.98 9.00
3 H Loyola-MD (13-18, 92.8) 59-68 -7.13 3.83 -0.01 0.98 -3.49
3 A Boston Univ (12-20, 92.6) 53-45 -7.34 3.62 0.01 0.98 7.10
3 A Colgate ( 6-25, 91.9) 59-56 -8.03 2.93 0.01 0.98 5.75
3 H Holy Cross (23-11, 94.1) 48-65 -5.80 5.16 -0.01 0.98 -2.84
3 H Navy (22- 9, 94.1) 68-86 -5.82 5.14 -0.01 0.98 -2.85
3 H Navy (22- 9, 94.1) 68-86 -5.82 5.14 -0.01 0.98 -2.85
3 H Army (26- 7, 94.4) 56-63 -5.47 5.49 -0.01 0.98 -2.68
3 A Colgate ( 6-25, 91.9) 44-41 -8.03 2.93 0.01 0.98 5.75
3 H Holy Cross (23-11, 94.1) 58-70 -5.80 5.16 -0.01 0.98 -2.84
3 H Loyola-MD (13-18, 92.8) 53-63 -7.13 3.83 -0.01 0.98 -3.49
3 A Lafayette (12-18, 92.5) 70-60 -7.37 3.59 0.01 0.98 7.04
3 H Bucknell (10-20, 92.4) 45-58 -7.49 3.47 -0.01 0.98 -3.67
3 H Navy (22- 9, 94.1) 58-86 -5.82 5.14 -0.01 0.98 -2.85
3 H Lehigh (17-16, 93.4) 51-79 -6.49 4.47 -0.01 0.98 -3.18
3 H Army (26- 7, 94.4) 56-86 -5.47 5.49 -0.01 0.98 -2.68
3 H Bucknell (10-20, 92.4) 45-58 -7.49 3.47 -0.01 0.98 -3.67
3 H Lafayette (12-18, 92.5) 41-56 -7.37 3.59 -0.01 0.98 -3.61
3 H Boston Univ (12-20, 92.6) 76-79 -7.34 3.62 -0.01 0.98 -3.60
3 A Lehigh (17-16, 93.4) 62-60 -6.49 4.47 0.01 0.98 8.77
3 H Boston Univ (12-20, 92.6) 58-69 -7.34 3.62 -0.01 0.98 -3.60
------
-28.17
|
winning pts = 47.1826 losing points = -75.3505
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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